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Why the $83bn Compliance Sector Is Ditching Checklists

A professional reviewing governance dashboards and compliance data on multiple screens in a corporate office setting
Photo by Scott Graham on Unsplash

By Jonathan Justus | jonnynow.com

Saturday, 18 April 2026  ·  Operations & Governance

The global enterprise governance, risk and compliance market stood at USD 72.42 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 82.93 billion this year alone, according to Grand View Research — a figure that underscores how rapidly organisations are moving compliance from the back office to the boardroom agenda. Yet behind the headline growth lies a more urgent story: a fundamental dismantling of the checkbox-and-audit model that has governed corporate compliance for three decades.

From Periodic Audits to Perpetual Oversight

The European Union's Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA), which came into force in January 2025, has crystallised a shift regulators have been signalling for years. Compliance teams at financial institutions across the continent now face a mandate for real-time visibility into ICT third-party risks and incident reporting, according to compliance technology firm Neota. Periodic audits are no longer sufficient.

The practical implications are significant. Where organisations once prepared for annual or quarterly assessments, they must now demonstrate continuous operational resilience. Third-party vendors, once assessed at contract renewal, are subject to ongoing monitoring. A supplier failure anywhere in a firm's digital supply chain can now trigger regulatory action even when internal controls remain intact.

This shift is not confined to Europe. Analysts at CLDigital note that obligations tied to ESG, cybersecurity, and data privacy are expanding simultaneously, creating what multiple industry reports describe as the most complex compliance environment in corporate history.

Key Statistic

50%

Legal and compliance functions are projected to increase GRC platform spending by 50% by the end of 2026, according to Gartner projections cited by CLDigital. The global GRC market is forecast to reach USD 203.65 billion by 2033 (Grand View Research).

AI Governance Emerges as a Discipline

Artificial intelligence has entered the compliance domain from two directions simultaneously. On one side, organisations are deploying machine learning to automate control mapping, flag anomalies, and accelerate regulatory reporting. On the other, regulators are demanding that AI-powered decisions — particularly in high-stakes areas such as anti-money-laundering screening and employee monitoring — be transparent, auditable, and defensible.

Under the EU AI Act, Neota cautions, the response "The AI said so" is now an immediate red flag for regulators. Organisations must ensure automated decisions carry a clear logic trail, built on human-defined rules rather than opaque algorithms. This dual demand — automate operations but explain every outcome — is reshaping how compliance and technology teams collaborate.

AI governance is fast becoming a standalone discipline, sitting at the intersection of legal, technology, and risk functions. Industry analysts project that dedicated AI compliance roles will be standard within large enterprises before the end of 2026.

The Cost of Standing Still

For organisations still relying on manual processes and spreadsheet-based compliance tracking, the cost differential is growing sharply. Operational compliance costs have surged more than 60 per cent since the 2008 financial crisis, according to Neota. IT backlogs for compliance workflow updates can stretch to six months, creating exposure windows that neither regulators nor insurers are prepared to overlook.

The GRC software segment now holds a 65.3 per cent share of the broader governance market, with North America accounting for 34.2 per cent of global revenue, Grand View Research reports. The strategic message for operations leaders is unambiguous: compliance architecture is now a board-level concern. Organisations that treat governance as a cost centre rather than a capability are simultaneously exposing themselves to regulatory, reputational, and competitive risk.

When the System Is Broken

Marketing strategist Seth Godin's TED Talk, "This Is Broken", offers a resonant lens for operations and compliance leaders navigating legacy frameworks. Godin identifies how organisations continue to operate broken systems long after the dysfunction is visible — a pattern that mirrors the inertia many compliance teams must now overcome to move from manual checklists to real-time governance platforms. The cost of institutional inertia, in 2026, is no longer theoretical.

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In 2026, the question is no longer whether organisations can afford to modernise their governance frameworks — it is whether they can afford not to.

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